Levante vs Oviedo Prediction
La Liga · Spain
Levante
Oviedo
📍 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 34.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 27.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
64.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.35
EV: 9.0%
Both teams are struggling, with low attacking output and high draw rates. Model sees the draw as more likely than odds imply.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.14
EV: -4.0%
Both teams have very low over 2.5% rates (Levante 44%, Oviedo 36%), weak attacks, and strong recent under trends. However, odds are short so value is limited.
Match Analysis
This is a crucial relegation six-pointer between two of La Liga's lowest-scoring and most out-of-form sides. Levante and Oviedo both have major issues in attack and have been conceding regularly, but neither has shown the ability to dominate games. Expect a tense, cagey affair with few clear chances. Stalemate is the most likely outcome, with under 2.5 goals looking highly probable.
Key Factors
- →Levante: 1 win in last 5, only 2 home wins all season, 0.6 goals scored per last 5 games.
- →Oviedo: 1 win in last 5, only 1 away win all season, scoring 0.64 goals per game.
- →Both teams average less than 1.1 goals scored per game, both concede over 1.5.
- →H2H is very balanced (3W-3D-3L each), last league meeting was 2-0 to Levante away.
- →Both teams are in the relegation zone and desperate for points, which could lead to a cautious approach.
- →Very high under 2.5 goal rates and low BTTS rates for both sides.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Lack of complete shots/corners/fouls data for some recent matches may reduce model precision.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis; late changes could affect attacking/defensive quality.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some volatility in recent results (e.g., Oviedo's 3-3 draw at Sociedad).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.