Mansfield Town vs Arsenal Prediction
FA Cup · England
Mansfield Town
Arsenal
📍 One Call Stadium, Mansfield
🗓️ Saturday, 7 Mar 2026 at 12:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 3
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 2.0%
Draw: 7.0%
Away: 91.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.4
EV: 58.0%
Arsenal's attack is in strong form (2.6 goals avg last 5, 4.0 in FA Cup), Mansfield concede 1.6 per game recently and have not kept a clean sheet in last 5. Arsenal likely to score multiple, with a decent chance of over 2.5 goals.
1x2 — away@ 1.01
EV: 0.0%
Arsenal are overwhelming favourites, with a huge quality gap and strong recent form. Odds are very short, so value is limited, but Arsenal win is the most probable outcome.
Match Analysis
This FA Cup tie sees League One side Mansfield Town host Premier League giants Arsenal at the One Call Stadium. Mansfield have struggled defensively in recent games, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five, and are up against an Arsenal side in prolific form, averaging over 2.5 goals per game recently and scoring 4+ in both FA Cup ties this season. Arsenal's superior quality, depth, and recent attacking output make them heavy favourites, and a comfortable away win is expected.
Key Factors
- →Arsenal average 2.6 goals scored per game in last 5, Mansfield average 1.6 conceded.
- →Mansfield have failed to keep a clean sheet in last 5 matches.
- →Arsenal have not failed to score in any of their last 5 matches.
- →Mansfield's attacking output is limited (1.0 goals per game last 5, 2 games failed to score).
- →No significant injuries for either side.
- →Arsenal have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in FA Cup this season.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available between these teams.
- ⚠️No league standings or detailed home/away splits due to cup context.
- ⚠️Cup matches can feature squad rotation, which may impact lineups and performance.
- ⚠️Some missing match stat data (shots, possession) for Mansfield's recent games reduces model confidence slightly.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.