MetzvsToulouse

Metz vs Toulouse Predictions

All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Metz vs Toulouse fixtures. 1 prediction available.

Most Recent Prediction

Metz vs Toulouse
Sunday, 15 Mar 2026Ligue 1

Predicted Score

0 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 14.0%

Draw: 33.0%

Away: 53.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

85.0% confidence

💰 Recommended Bets(3)

1x2draw@ 3.3

EV: 9.0%

5
/ 10
Stake
1u

Metz have struggled badly in attack (0.2 goals per game last 5, failed to score in 4/5), but Toulouse are also in poor form and have drawn 7/25 this season. H2H history is draw-heavy (6 of last 10). The model sees a higher draw probability than the market.

bttsno@ 1.17

EV: 0.0%

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Metz have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Toulouse have only scored in 2 of their last 5. Both teams have low BTTS rates recently. This is a low-scoring matchup on paper.

ou_2_5under@ 1.13

EV: 0.0%

8
/ 10
Stake
2u

Both teams are averaging under 1 goal scored per game in their last 5, and neither attack is in form. Model probability for under 2.5 is very high. Odds are short, but this is a strong statistical lean.

Match Analysis

This is a clash between two out-of-form sides, but Metz's struggles are far more severe. Metz have lost 4 straight and scored just once in their last 5 games, while Toulouse have also failed to win in 5, but have at least shown some attacking intent. Metz's home record is poor, and their attack is almost non-existent recently. Toulouse's away record is average, but their defense is much more solid than Metz's. The H2H record is draw-heavy, but Toulouse have dominated recent meetings. Expect a low-scoring, cagey affair, with Toulouse slight favorites but a draw very possible.

Key Factors

  • Metz have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 4 of them.
  • Toulouse have lost 3 of their last 5 but have a much better season record and away defense.
  • Metz have the league's worst defense (2.24 conceded per game) and the worst attack (0.88 scored per game).
  • Recent H2H matches are draw-heavy (6/10), but Toulouse have won the last 3 meetings without conceding.