Mirandes vs Valladolid Prediction
Segunda División · Spain
Mirandes
Valladolid
📍 Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 15:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 46.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
62.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1X2 — away@ 1.8
EV: 2.8%
Valladolid have superior recent form (WDWDL), a stronger away attack (2.0 avg goals in last 5), and a dominant H2H record (5 wins in last 8). Mirandes are bottom, on a 3-match losing streak, and have scored just 0.6 per game in their last 5.
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 24.1%
Model probability (0.38) is higher than the implied odds (0.231), and Valladolid have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5. Mirandes' defense is weak, but home side could score given Valladolid concede 2.4 per game over last 5.
double_chance — X2
Mirandes are in poor form and bottom of the table; Valladolid are more consistent and have not lost to Mirandes in 7 of last 8 H2H meetings. Strong away/draw likelihood.
Match Analysis
Valladolid travel to bottom-placed Mirandes with clear momentum, having lost just once in their last five and showing notable attacking output. Mirandes, meanwhile, are in a dire run of form with three straight losses, struggling to score and leaking goals. The H2H history is lopsided in Valladolid's favor, and Mirandes' home record is among the league's worst. Expect Valladolid to control proceedings, with Mirandes likely to struggle for goals, though the away side's defensive frailty could allow a home consolation.
Key Factors
- →Mirandes: 3 straight losses, only 0.6 goals scored per game in last 5, 0 clean sheets in last 5.
- →Valladolid: Unbeaten in 4 of last 5, 2.0 goals scored per game in last 5, only 1 clean sheet.
- →Mirandes home record: 3W 3D 9L, 12 scored, 24 conceded.
- →Valladolid away record: 4W 5D 6L, 18 scored, 25 conceded.
- →H2H: Valladolid 5 wins, 2 draws in last 8; Mirandes only 1 win.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, cards) missing for several recent matches, slightly increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Valladolid's defense is inconsistent; Mirandes' attack is weak but could exploit lapses.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets (e.g., double chance) not provided; expected value not calculated there.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.