MSV Duisburg vs TSV 1860 München Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
📍 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 15:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 33.0%
Draw: 35.0%
Away: 32.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.75
EV: 73.0%
Model probability for BTTS is 53%, while odds imply only 27%. Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent matches (Duisburg 4/5, 1860 2/5 but with solid attack), and both are motivated in a tight table. Value is significant.
1x2 — draw@ 3.4
EV: 19.0%
Two closely matched teams, both in good form, and a high draw probability from model and recent records. Odds offer a small positive expected value.
Match Analysis
MSV Duisburg host TSV 1860 München in a clash between two sides with strong recent form and top-7 ambitions. Duisburg boast an unbeaten home record (10W, 4D) but were thrashed last time out. 1860 München are on a 5-match unbeaten streak, including 4 wins, and have improved away form. Both teams average over 1.5 goals per game this season, but recent matches have seen Duisburg both score and concede frequently, while 1860 München have tightened up defensively (just 0.4 conceded per game in last 5). Head-to-head history is heavily in 1860's favor, but Duisburg's home fortress and attacking stats suggest a close, competitive match, likely to be decided by fine margins.
Key Factors
- →Duisburg are unbeaten at home this season (10W, 4D).
- →1860 München have won 4 of their last 5 and are unbeaten in that stretch.
- →Duisburg's last 5: 4 BTTS, 1.8 scored and conceded per game.
- →1860 München's last 5: 3 clean sheets, only 0.4 conceded per game.
- →Head-to-head: 1860 München have dominated (7 wins in last 10), but Duisburg's home form is exceptional this season.
- →Both teams are in the promotion playoff hunt, so motivation is high.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent match stats for shots, possession, and set pieces are incomplete for 1860 München.
- ⚠️Some lineup and tactical data is missing for both teams.
- ⚠️Model confidence is reduced due to incomplete underlying match stats.
- ⚠️Market odds may shift significantly closer to kickoff.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.