Nantes vs Le Havre Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
Le Havre
📍 Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 16:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 18.0%
Draw: 44.0%
Away: 38.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.2
EV: 17.6%
Both teams are among the league's lowest scorers, Nantes are in dreadful form (L5), and Le Havre are poor away (1 win in 10). H2H is draw-heavy (4/10), and both teams' recent matches often end with few goals. The draw is notably overpriced.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.12
EV: -2.3%
Both teams average under 1 goal per game, Le Havre away games are especially low-scoring (5 GF in 10), and 7/10 H2H meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Model probability is high, but odds are short so value is marginal.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two of Ligue 1's lowest-scoring sides. Nantes are in a crisis, having lost five straight and boasting the league's worst home record. Le Havre, while in better form with two wins on the bounce, have been extremely poor away from home, scoring just 5 goals in 10 away matches. Both teams struggle to create chances, and recent head-to-heads have been tight, low-scoring affairs. Expect a cautious, tense contest with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw or narrow away win.
Key Factors
- →Nantes have lost 5 in a row and have the worst home record in Ligue 1 (1W, 2D, 8L, 10 GF, 22 GA).
- →Le Havre are unbeaten in their last 3 (WWD), but have just 1 win in 10 away games (5 GF, 16 GA).
- →Both teams average under 1 goal per game this season.
- →H2H is balanced: 4 draws in last 10, 7/10 under 2.5 goals.
- →Nantes have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5; Le Havre have 1 clean sheet in last 5.
- →No significant injuries or suspensions reported.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot/corner/card data for Le Havre's recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Low scoring teams can be volatile; a single early goal could open up the game unexpectedly.
- ⚠️Odds for under 2.5 goals are very short, limiting value despite high probability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.