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Newcastle vs Sunderland Predictions
All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Newcastle vs Sunderland fixtures. 1 prediction available.
Most Recent Prediction
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 64.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 11.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
73.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4.1
EV: 80.0%
Model gives 44% probability for over 2.5 goals, while market implies only 24.4%. Newcastle's home attack and Sunderland's recent defensive lapses suggest potential for goals. Value present despite under being more likely.
1x2 — home@ 1.25
EV: 5.0%
Newcastle strong at home (8W in 15), Sunderland weak away (3W in 15, only 8 away goals). Recent form and H2H edge to Newcastle, though odds are short.
Match Analysis
Newcastle host Sunderland in a Tyne-Wear derby with both sides mid-table but Newcastle holding a slight edge in form and home advantage. Newcastle have won 2 of their last 3 and are coming off a big away win at Chelsea, while Sunderland have lost 3 of their last 5 and struggle for goals on the road. Sunderland's away record is poor, with just 8 goals in 15 away matches, and their recent xG and shot numbers are underwhelming. Newcastle's attack at home is more reliable, and their defense should be able to contain Sunderland's limited threat. The derby atmosphere may keep things tight early, but Newcastle's quality and set piece threat could see them pull away, especially in the second half.
Key Factors
- →Newcastle's home record: 8W/2D/5L, 28 goals scored in 15 home matches.
- →Sunderland's away record: 3W/5D/7L, only 8 goals scored in 15 away games.
- →Recent form: Newcastle WDLWL, Sunderland LLWDL.
- →Newcastle average 1.43 goals scored and conceded per game, Sunderland average 1.0 scored and 1.17 conceded.