Nice vs Le Havre Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
Le Havre
📍 Allianz Riviera, Nice
🗓️ Sunday, 12 Apr 2026 at 15:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 37.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 25.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
64.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.5
EV: 9.4%
Both teams are in poor form, have low scoring rates, and are closely matched in the standings. The draw is slightly undervalued by the market relative to the model's probability.
Match Analysis
This is a low-scoring, high-stakes relegation six-pointer between two out-of-form sides. Nice and Le Havre are separated by just one point and both have struggled for goals and results recently. Nice have lost four of their last five, conceding heavily, while Le Havre are winless in five and have the league's worst away attack. Both teams have a high rate of matches under 2.5 goals, and recent H2H meetings at this ground have been close. Expect a tense, cagey affair with few chances, where a draw is a likely outcome.
Key Factors
- →Both teams have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches.
- →Nice have lost 4 of their last 5 and conceded 2.4 goals per game in that span.
- →Le Havre have the worst away attack in Ligue 1 (0.54 goals per away game).
- →Both teams have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- →Nice's home record (4W 5D 5L) is only marginally better than Le Havre's away record (1W 3D 9L).
- →Recent H2H at Nice: 2-1, 1-0 (both tight, low-scoring).
- →No significant injury absences for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams is poor, increasing result volatility.
- ⚠️Low attacking output means a single goal could decide the match.
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats (shots, xG) for several recent games.
- ⚠️Market odds for 'under' and 'BTTS no' are very short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.