Nice vs Rennes Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
Rennes
📍 Allianz Riviera, Nice
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 16:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 46.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
61.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.2
EV: 31.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (41%) exceeds the implied probability from odds (31%), and both teams have over 2.5 goal rates above 50% for the season. Rennes have improved attack form, and Nice's defense has been leaky.
1x2 — away@ 1.77
EV: 15.0%
Rennes are in strong form (WWW), Nice have just 1 win in 10 and a poor defensive record. Rennes have the edge in both attack and away form, and are higher in the table.
Match Analysis
Rennes arrive in Nice on a three-match winning streak, showing a resurgence in both attack and results, while Nice continue to struggle, especially defensively, with just one win in their last ten league matches. Although Nice have historically performed well against Rennes at home, recent form and the league table suggest Rennes are favorites. Expect Rennes to control more of the game, with Nice likely to play reactively. Goals may come late, with Rennes' attack finding space as Nice chase the game.
Key Factors
- →Rennes on a 3-game winning streak, including a win over PSG.
- →Nice have just 1 win in their last 10 league matches.
- →Nice's home record is mediocre (4W, 5D, 3L) and defense is poor (1.83 conceded/game).
- →Rennes' away record is balanced (4W, 4D, 4L) but attack is stronger (1.58 scored/game).
- →H2H slightly favors Nice at home, but Rennes won the reverse fixture.
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates (Nice 54%, Rennes 62%).
- →No significant injuries reported.
- →Nice have failed to score in 3 of last 5; Rennes have 2 clean sheets in last 5.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some last 5 match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for Rennes.
- ⚠️Nice's attack is inconsistent, with 3 failed to score in last 5.
- ⚠️H2H history is competitive; Nice have a good home record vs Rennes.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest a closer match than model implies.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.