Notts County vs Cheltenham Prediction
League Two · England
Notts County
Cheltenham
📍 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 55.0%
Draw: 26.0%
Away: 19.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 125.0%
Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent games (Notts County 2/5, Cheltenham 4/5), and Cheltenham have scored in all of their last 5. Odds are significantly higher than model probability, creating strong value.
1x2 — draw@ 4.1
EV: 8.0%
Cheltenham come in with a 4-match unbeaten run and have drawn 4 of their last 5, while Notts County have lost 3 of their last 5. The draw is underpriced by the market.
Match Analysis
Notts County, strong at home but inconsistent lately, host a Cheltenham side on a five-match unbeaten run. County's attack is potent at Meadow Lane (1.84 goals/game), but defensive lapses have cost them recently. Cheltenham's away record is poor overall, but recent form is much improved, with solid attacking output (2 goals/game last 5) and no failed-to-score outings. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to find the net, but County's overall quality and home advantage make them slight favourites.
Key Factors
- →Notts County average 1.84 goals per home game, and Cheltenham concede 1.89 away.
- →Cheltenham are unbeaten in 5 (W1 D4), scoring in all of those matches.
- →Notts County have lost 3 of their last 5, but have a strong overall home record (11W, 3D, 5L).
- →Both teams have only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
- →Recent H2H meetings have been high-scoring and competitive.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent form for Notts County is inconsistent, increasing result volatility.
- ⚠️Cheltenham's improved form may not be fully reflected in season-long stats.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots/corners/fouls) are missing for a few recent games.
- ⚠️API prediction strongly favours Cheltenham or draw, but market and model disagree.
- ⚠️H2H sample is small and spans multiple seasons; apply caution.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.