Oldham vs Notts County Prediction
League Two · England
Oldham
Notts County
📍 Boundary Park, Oldham
🗓️ Tuesday, 24 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 43.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.92
EV: 1.9%
Both teams have high recent goal averages (Oldham 1.8, Notts County 2.6 last 5), Notts County games go over 2.5 at 54%, and both sides' attacking stats are strong. Model probability (0.54) is slightly above market implied (0.52), offering a small value edge.
double_chance — X2
Notts County are 4th, strong away (9W/4D/5L), and Oldham's home win rate is modest. Notts County have more attacking threat and higher league motivation. Model probability for X2 is 0.72.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between in-form Oldham and promotion-chasing Notts County. Oldham are unbeaten in five (WWWDW), showing defensive solidity (four clean sheets) but limited attacking output at home. Notts County are inconsistent (WLWLW) but have the league's most potent attack, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five. Both sides have a history of goals in this fixture, and Notts County's superior away form and attacking stats give them a slight edge, but Oldham's defensive record at home suggests a competitive encounter.
Key Factors
- →Oldham: 4 clean sheets in last 5, but only 1.8 goals scored per game in that span.
- →Notts County: 2.6 goals scored per game last 5, highest in League Two, but defensive lapses (1.0 conceded per game).
- →Oldham home: 7W/7D/4L, 21:15 GF:GA; Notts County away: 9W/4D/5L, 25:18 GF:GA.
- →H2H: Even, but last meeting was a 3-1 Notts County win.
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
- →Oldham's recent matches low on shots, Notts County much higher attacking volume.
- →Both teams' over 2.5 goal % above 40%, Notts County at 54%.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent Oldham home matches show low attacking output (shots/shots on target).
- ⚠️Notts County are inconsistent, alternating wins and losses.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for Oldham's recent home games (low sample for shots, etc).
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds and model probabilities are close; only small value found.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups; late injuries or rotations could affect predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.