Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Wednesday, 18 Feb 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 33.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 31.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
1x2 — draw@ 3.25
Expected Value: 17.0%
Both teams have similar form and defensive stats, with Olympiakos strong at home and Leverkusen solid away. The previous H2H was low scoring and tight. Model probability for a draw is slightly higher than bookmaker implied probability, indicating small value.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.2
Expected Value: -1.0%
Both teams have low over 2.5 rates (Olympiakos 37.5%, Leverkusen 50%), and recent matches have been low scoring. Model probability is high for under, but odds offer minimal value.
Match Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus and Bayer Leverkusen meet in a Champions League clash that looks likely to be tightly contested and low scoring. Olympiakos have shown resilience at home, recently beating Leverkusen 2-0 in the previous H2H. Both teams have similar season and recent form, with Olympiakos averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in their last five, while Leverkusen have been slightly more prolific but also solid defensively. Both sides are mid-table in the group and will be motivated to avoid defeat, likely leading to a cautious first half and a game that could be decided by a single goal or end in a draw.
Key Factors
- ▪Both teams have low over 2.5 goal percentages and strong recent defensive records.
- ▪Leverkusen have not failed to score in their last 5, but Olympiakos have kept 2 clean sheets in that span.
- ▪Olympiakos won the previous H2H 2-0 at home.
- ▪No significant injuries for either side.
- ▪Both teams are close in the standings and motivation is high to avoid defeat.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Limited shots/corners/fouls data for Olympiakos in recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and attack metrics.
- ⚠️ Only one recent H2H, so long-term matchup trends are unclear.
- ⚠️ Bookmaker odds are quite defensive, limiting value on most markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.