Oviedo vs Athletic Club Prediction
La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
Athletic Club
📍 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 13:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 14.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 52.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
83.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.1
EV: 1.7%
Both teams have struggled for goals, and Oviedo's home matches are low-scoring with a high draw rate (5 of 11 at home). Athletic Club are poor away (2W 2D 7L), and both teams' recent form is patchy. The model gives a slight value edge to the draw.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between the league's bottom side Oviedo and mid-table Athletic Club. Oviedo have the league's worst attack, averaging just 0.55 goals per game and only 4 goals in 11 home matches. Athletic Club have a poor away record and are inconsistent, but their attack is significantly stronger. Both teams' recent matches have been low scoring, and neither side has kept many clean sheets. The most likely scenario is a tight, cagey match with few chances, where Athletic Club's superior firepower may just edge it, but a draw is also quite plausible.
Key Factors
- →Oviedo have scored just 4 goals in 11 home matches (0.36 per game).
- →Athletic Club have lost 7 of 11 away matches, conceding 19 goals.
- →Both teams average over 1.4 goals conceded per game.
- →Oviedo's last 5: WLLDD, only 1 clean sheet, 1 failed to score.
- →Athletic Club's last 5: LWWDL, 0 clean sheets, 1 failed to score.
- →Head-to-head this season ended 1-0 to Athletic Club.
- →Bookmakers price under 2.5 goals as extremely likely (1.11).
- →Oviedo missing key defender D. Costas and midfielder O. Ejaria.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Missing detailed shots/corners/fouls data for away team last 5.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (only 1 recent meeting).
- ⚠️Some injuries, but unclear impact on starting XIs.
- ⚠️Athletic Club away form volatile; model confidence moderate.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.