Paris FC vs Le Havre Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
Le Havre
📍 Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 16:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 44.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 19.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
81.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Draw@ 3.25
EV: 20.0%
Both teams are among the lowest scorers in Ligue 1, have similar poor form, and the last 5 H2H meetings have all ended in draws or low-scoring games. The draw probability is higher than the odds imply.
over_under_2_5 — Under 2.5@ 1.14
EV: -2.0%
Both teams average well below 1 goal per game in the last 5, and 8 of the last 10 H2H have gone under 2.5. However, odds are very short, so value is marginal.
btts — No@ 1.2
EV: -2.0%
Le Havre have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, Paris FC in 2 of 5, and H2H is heavily low scoring. Odds are short, so only moderate value.
Match Analysis
This is a relegation six-pointer between two of Ligue 1's lowest-scoring sides. Paris FC and Le Havre are separated by just one point in the table and both have struggled to find the net recently, with Le Havre failing to score in four of their last five and Paris FC netting just three times in their last five. Both teams have a high draw rate and a long history of low-scoring, cagey H2H encounters. Expect a tight, defensive match with few clear chances, where a single goal could decide it.
Key Factors
- →Paris FC: 2 clean sheets in last 5, but only 3 goals scored.
- →Le Havre: 4 games without scoring in last 5, just 5 away goals all season.
- →H2H: Last 5 meetings all draws or under 2.5 goals.
- →Both teams have a high draw rate (Paris FC 10/26, Le Havre 9/26).
- →Le Havre away: 1W 3D 8L, 5 goals scored in 12 away games.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited attacking data for recent matches (missing shots/possession for some games).
- ⚠️Low-scoring games are prone to random events (penalties, red cards) that can swing results.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds already reflect low goal expectation, reducing value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.