Parma vs Cremonese Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Parma
Cremonese
📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 49.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 17.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
81.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — draw@ 3.05
EV: 1.0%
Both teams have struggled for goals and wins, with Parma drawing 3 of their last 5 at home and Cremonese drawing 2 of their last 7 H2H. The model sees a slightly higher draw probability than the odds imply.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.11
EV: -4.0%
Both teams have low scoring rates (Parma 0.72, Cremonese 0.79 goals/game), and 5 of the last 7 H2H have gone under 2.5 goals. However, the odds are very short, so value is limited.
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: -4.0%
Cremonese have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, Parma in 1 of 5, and both teams have a high clean sheet rate recently. 4 of last 5 Parma home games saw BTTS 'no'.
Match Analysis
This is a low-scoring, relegation-threatened clash between Parma and Cremonese. Parma have the edge in form and home advantage, but both sides have struggled to score and convert draws into wins. Parma's recent matches have been tight, with improved defensive solidity, while Cremonese are on a three-game losing streak and have scored just twice in their last five. Expect a cautious, physical contest with few clear chances, where a single goal may decide it.
Key Factors
- →Parma's home record is poor (3W 5D 6L), but Cremonese's away form is worse (3W 3D 9L, 23 conceded).
- →Both teams average under 1 goal per game and under 1.5 goals conceded per game.
- →Recent form: Parma LDDWW, Cremonese LLLDL.
- →H2H is balanced but low scoring: 3 of last 4 meetings ended 1-1 or 0-0.
- →No significant injuries reported for either team.
- →Both teams are among the lowest for over 2.5 goal % in Serie A.
- →Parma have more attacking threat (13.6 shots/game last 5) but lack clinical finishing.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Lack of shots/corners/cards data for Cremonese last 5 matches reduces confidence in set piece and discipline predictions.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and have high draw rates, increasing match volatility.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on main markets are very tight, limiting value opportunities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.