PEC Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
📍 IJsseldelta Stadion, Zwolle
🗓️ Friday, 13 Mar 2026 at 19:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 35.0%
Away: 37.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.6
EV: 108.0%
Both teams have scored in 9 of their last 10 combined matches, and both average 1.6 goals scored per game in their last 5. The odds offered imply just 28% but model probability is 54%.
1x2 — draw@ 3.65
EV: 28.0%
Five of the last 10 H2H ended in draws, and both teams are defensively vulnerable but not clinical. Model sees 35% draw probability vs 27% implied.
Match Analysis
PEC Zwolle and Groningen meet in a mid-table clash with both sides showing inconsistent form. Zwolle are solid at home but have struggled for goals recently, while Groningen snapped a losing streak with a big win over Ajax but have been leaky at the back. Both teams are prone to conceding and scoring, with high BTTS rates and a history of draws in this fixture. Expect a tight, cagey game with both sides likely to find the net but neither dominating.
Key Factors
- →PEC Zwolle have 6W/2D/4L at home, Groningen 5W/1D/7L away.
- →Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches.
- →BTTS has landed in 4/5 for Zwolle and 5/5 for Groningen.
- →Recent H2H: 5 draws in last 10, including a 2-2 earlier this season.
- →Neither side keeps many clean sheets (Zwolle 20%, Groningen 27%).
- →No significant injuries reported for either team.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some missing data for shots/corners/fouls in recent matches reduces confidence in set piece projections.
- ⚠️Both teams' form is volatile; Groningen's recent win may not indicate a true turnaround.
- ⚠️Market odds suggest defensive game, but recent stats point to BTTS value.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups; late changes could impact final probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.