PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
📍 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 37.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 25.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.6
EV: 13.0%
Both teams have struggled for wins recently, with PEC Zwolle drawing 4 of their last 5 and NAC Breda inconsistent away. The model sees a higher probability of a draw than the implied odds, with neither side showing clear attacking superiority.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two teams in the lower half of the Eredivisie, both struggling for form and goals. PEC Zwolle have drawn 4 consecutive matches and have a solid home record, but their attack is not prolific. NAC Breda come off a heavy 0-6 defeat and have only one away win all season, with a leaky defense and limited attacking threat. Both teams are likely to be cautious, aware of the relegation battle, and recent H2H meetings have often been tight. Expect a low-scoring, tense encounter where a draw is a strong possibility.
Key Factors
- →PEC Zwolle: 4 consecutive draws, low scoring, only 1 clean sheet in last 5.
- →NAC Breda: 1 win in last 5 away, just 10 away goals all season, conceded 6 in last match.
- →Both teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game in recent form.
- →Head-to-head: 3 draws in last 5 meetings, including 2-2 earlier this season.
- →Both teams have a low clean sheet percentage (Zwolle 18.5%, NAC 14.8%).
- →No significant injuries reported.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Away team match stats for shots, possession, etc. are missing for last 5 matches, reducing confidence in attack/defense assessment.
- ⚠️Some volatility in both teams' defensive performances (NAC's recent 0-6 loss).
- ⚠️Market odds are unusually short for 'no' in BTTS and 'under' in 2.5 goals, so value is limited on those markets.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.