Pisa vs Torino Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Pisa
Torino
📍 Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 16:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 13.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 59.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Torino@ 1.73
EV: 2.0%
Torino have a much stronger attack, better recent form, and Pisa have the league's worst home record and lowest scoring rate. Torino's away record is modest but Pisa's inability to score or win at home weighs heavily.
btts — no@ 1.18
EV: -2.0%
Pisa have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Torino's defense is average but Pisa's attack is extremely weak. Most likely outcome is Torino win to nil.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 5.6
EV: 113.0%
Model probability for over 2.5 goals is higher than the implied odds suggest. Torino games have a 63% over 2.5 rate, and Pisa's defense is leaky, so there is value at this price despite the low-scoring risk.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between the league's bottom side Pisa and a mid-table but inconsistent Torino. Pisa's form is dire, with just 2 wins all season and a home record of 2-4-9, scoring only 7 in 15 home games. Their last 5 includes a 0-5 and 0-4 loss, and they have failed to score in 4 of those. Torino, while inconsistent, have shown more attacking threat recently (1.8 goals per game last 5), and have scored in 4 of their last 5. Torino's defense is not watertight, but Pisa's attack is so blunt that a Torino win to nil is likely. The head-to-head is limited but shows Torino unbeaten in recent meetings. Expect Torino to control the match, keep a clean sheet, and possibly win by multiple goals.
Key Factors
- →Pisa have scored just 7 goals in 15 home matches and failed to score in 4 of last 5 games.
- →Torino average 1.8 goals scored per game in last 5, with 3 clean sheets in last 15 away.
- →Pisa's defense concedes 1.8 goals per game (season), 2.4 in last 5.
- →Torino have won 2 of their last 5 and scored in 4 of those.
- →Head-to-head favors Torino (2 wins, 1 draw in last 3).
- →Pisa are bottom of Serie A and have little to play for, while Torino are clear of relegation but not in European contention.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Pisa may play for pride at home, but data shows little attacking threat.
- ⚠️Torino's away record is poor (3-4-8), but Pisa's home form is even worse.
- ⚠️Some missing stats for Pisa's last 5 (shots, lineups), so model confidence is slightly reduced.
- ⚠️Low odds on BTTS No and Under 2.5 reflect market consensus; value is thin except on Over 2.5.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.