Port Vale
Bristol City
Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 10.0%
Draw: 21.0%
Away: 69.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
1x2 — away@ 1.28
Bristol City are a division above, have a much stronger squad, and have dominated all recent H2H meetings. Port Vale's recent form is poor, with heavy home defeats, and their attack is struggling. The odds are short but reflect the true probability.
btts — no@ 1.18
Port Vale have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, and Bristol City have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5. The gulf in class and defensive focus from Bristol City makes BTTS 'no' likely, though odds are short.
correct_score — 0-2
Model's most likely scoreline. Port Vale's attack is blunt, Bristol City have the quality to win comfortably but may not run up a big score away from home.
Match Analysis
This FA Cup tie sees League One Port Vale host Championship side Bristol City at Vale Park. Port Vale come into the match in poor form, having lost three of their last five and conceding heavily at home. Their attack has struggled, averaging less than a goal per game over the last five. Bristol City, despite a heavy recent defeat, have generally performed well in the Championship and have a much higher quality squad. Historical head-to-head meetings are dominated by Bristol City, who have won three of the last four. Expect Bristol City to control the match, limit Port Vale's chances, and progress with a professional, low-scoring win.
Key Factors
- ▪Port Vale's recent form: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in last 5, with 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.
- ▪Bristol City are a division above and have won 3 of last 4 H2H meetings.
- ▪Port Vale's average possession and shots are low, indicating limited attacking threat.
- ▪Bristol City have kept 2 clean sheets in last 5 and have much higher squad quality.
- ▪No significant injuries for either side.
- ▪Port Vale have failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Cup matches can produce upsets due to motivation and rotation.
- ⚠️ Some missing data for away team stats (shots, possession) in recent games.
- ⚠️ Small sample size for both teams' FA Cup season stats.
- ⚠️ No current league table positions provided.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.