Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Saturday, 14 Feb 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 34.0%
Draw: 37.0%
Away: 29.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
57.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
1x2 — draw@ 3.3
Expected Value: 7.1%
Both teams are inconsistent, with Portsmouth hard to beat at home and Sheffield Utd poor away. The model gives a higher probability to the draw than the odds imply, and both teams have a high draw rate recently.
double_chance — 1X
Portsmouth's home defensive record is solid and Sheffield Utd have lost 10 of 16 away. Portsmouth are missing key players but still tend to avoid defeat at home.
over_under_1_5 — over
Both teams average above 1 goal per game recently, but neither attack is prolific. Over 1.5 is more likely than over 2.5, but not a strong value at current odds.
Match Analysis
Portsmouth host Sheffield Utd in a lower mid-table clash where both sides have struggled for consistency. Portsmouth's recent form at Fratton Park has been steady, with a strong defensive record and a tendency for low-scoring, tight games. Sheffield Utd have shown more attacking intent but are vulnerable away from home, conceding heavily. Both teams are missing several players, which could further limit attacking quality. The match is likely to be cagey, with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw or a narrow win either way.
Key Factors
- ▪Portsmouth have only lost 5 of 15 home games and concede just 1 goal per home match.
- ▪Sheffield Utd have lost 10 of 16 away games, conceding 28 goals (1.75 per game).
- ▪Both teams average less than 1.5 goals scored per game this season.
- ▪Portsmouth missing key attackers (C. Bishop, J. Murphy), limiting their goal threat.
- ▪Both teams have low clean sheet rates and high rates of under 2.5 goals.
- ▪Recent H2H at Portsmouth finished 0-0; last meeting was a 3-0 win for Sheffield Utd at home.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Several injuries for both teams, especially Portsmouth, reduce attacking options and increase lineup uncertainty.
- ⚠️ Sheffield Utd's away form is poor but they have a stronger attack overall.
- ⚠️ Recent data for away team shots/possession is incomplete, increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️ Low-scoring tendency increases draw probability but also makes single-goal swings more likely.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.