PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
📍 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 17:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
3 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 74.0%
Draw: 17.0%
Away: 9.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 2.8
EV: 36.0%
Both teams have scored in 4 of NEC's last 5 and all of PSV's last 5. PSV's defense has not kept a clean sheet in their last 5, while NEC's attack is potent (2.46 goals/game season). Value on BTTS Yes at 2.8.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 2.25
EV: 68.0%
Both teams are among the top for over 2.5 goals (PSV 84.62%, NEC 80.77%). H2H also trends high-scoring (avg 4.0 goals last 5). Odds for over 2.5 are generous.
Match Analysis
PSV Eindhoven host NEC Nijmegen in a clash between two of Eredivisie's highest-scoring sides. PSV are league leaders with a dominant home record (10W-2D-1L) and average nearly 3 goals per home game. NEC, third in the table, are in decent form and recently knocked PSV out of the cup, showing they can trouble the leaders. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring, open games, with neither defense particularly watertight lately. Expect an attacking contest with PSV's firepower likely proving decisive, but NEC have enough threat to get on the scoresheet.
Key Factors
- →PSV: 22 wins from 26, 2.88 goals/game, 84.62% over 2.5 goals, 23% clean sheet rate.
- →NEC: 2.46 goals/game, 80.77% over 2.5 goals, only 1 clean sheet in last 5.
- →Both teams have scored in 4 of NEC's last 5 and all of PSV's last 5.
- →Recent H2H: 3-2, 5-3, 3-3, 2-0, 3-1, 4-0 (average 4.0 goals per match).
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →PSV's home attack (41 goals in 13) vs NEC's away defense (23 conceded in 13).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Recent cup upset (NEC beat PSV 3-2) shows NEC can be dangerous.
- ⚠️PSV's clean sheet % is low, but their attack usually compensates.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, lineups) for a few recent matches.
- ⚠️Market odds on PSV are very short; value is in goal/BTTS markets, not 1x2.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.