Radomiak Radom vs Widzew Łódź Prediction
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
📍 Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, Radom
🗓️ Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 at 12:45
Original Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 31.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 31.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 41.0%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 0.41 versus implied probability of 0.23 at odds 4.33, indicating significant value. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and moderate BTTS rates recently.
correct_score — 1-1
1-1 is the most likely scoreline per model (0.23) and fits the low-scoring, tight nature of both sides' recent games.
Match Analysis
This is a crucial relegation six-pointer between Radomiak Radom and Widzew Łódź, with both teams separated by just one point at the bottom end of the Ekstraklasa table. Radomiak have a strong home record but are in poor current form (no wins in five, LDLDL), struggling to convert possession into goals. Widzew are unbeaten in five (WDDDW) and have tightened up defensively, but their away record is weak overall. Recent head-to-heads have been close, with both sides scoring in most encounters. Expect a tense, cagey match with few clear chances, likely decided by a single goal or ending in a draw.
Key Factors
- →Radomiak's home record is solid (7W 4D 3L, 27:13 GF:GA), but recent form is poor (LDLDL).
- →Widzew are unbeaten in five (WDDDW), with three clean sheets in that span.
- →Both teams have struggled for goals recently: Radomiak 0.6, Widzew 0.8 avg goals scored in last 5.
- →Season BTTS rates are moderate, but H2H history leans towards both teams scoring.
- →Both teams are just above the relegation zone, so motivation and nerves will be high.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Low recent attacking output from both sides increases risk of a 0-0 or 1-0 result.
- ⚠️Market odds suggest a low-scoring match; model agrees, but variance is high in relegation battles.
- ⚠️Some recent match stat data (shots, lineups) is incomplete.
- ⚠️Correct score and BTTS are high-variance markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.