Real SociedadvsAlaves

Real Sociedad vs Alaves Predictions

All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Real Sociedad vs Alaves fixtures. 1 prediction available.

Most Recent Prediction

Real Sociedad vs Alaves
Saturday, 11 Apr 2026La Liga

Predicted Score

2 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 58.0%

Draw: 27.0%

Away: 15.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

60.0% confidence

💰 Recommended Bets(2)

over_under_2_5over@ 4.5

EV: 64.0%

4
/ 10
Stake
1u

Model sees a higher chance of over 2.5 goals (41%) than the odds imply (22%). Both teams average 1.8 goals scored in their last 5, and H2H has produced 2+ goals in 7 of last 10.

1x2home@ 1.28

EV: 1.0%

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Real Sociedad strong at home (8W in 15), Alaves poor away (10L in 15). Sociedad have won 3 of last 5 and have higher xG and shot output.

Match Analysis

Real Sociedad come into this fixture on the back of a strong home win and generally solid home form, while Alaves have struggled on their travels all season. Sociedad's attack is producing, with 1.8 goals per game in their last five, and they have not failed to score in that stretch. Alaves have been involved in high-scoring games recently but have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 2 goals per game in their last five. H2H is relatively balanced but leans slightly towards Sociedad at home. Expect Sociedad to control possession and create more chances, with Alaves likely to threaten on the counter but less consistently.

Key Factors

  • Sociedad's strong home record (8W, 3D, 4L, 29GF in 15)
  • Alaves' poor away record (3W, 2D, 10L, 13GF/25GA in 15)
  • Both teams averaging 1.8 goals scored in last 5 matches
  • Sociedad have not failed to score in last 5, Alaves have 1 FTSc