Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg Prediction
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
📍 Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
🗓️ Sunday, 1 Mar 2026 at 16:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 57.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 15.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4
EV: 88.0%
Model probability for BTTS is 47% versus implied 25%. Both teams have shown attacking threat (Salzburg 1.8, Hartberg 2.0 avg goals in last 5), and Hartberg have scored in 4 of last 5 competitive matches. Value is significant.
1x2 — draw@ 4.2
EV: 17.6%
Model sees draw probability at 28% vs implied 23.8%. Salzburg have drawn 6/20 league matches and Hartberg 7/20. Hartberg's away record is resilient (4W 4D 2L).
Match Analysis
Red Bull Salzburg enter as favorites, boosted by a strong home record and dominant H2H history, but Hartberg have tightened up defensively with 4 clean sheets in their last 5. Salzburg's attack is potent but has shown some inconsistency, while Hartberg's recent form and defensive structure could frustrate the hosts. Expect Salzburg to control the match, but Hartberg are capable of scoring and could keep things close, especially in the first half.
Key Factors
- →Salzburg have won 8 of last 10 H2H, but Hartberg have drawn 2 of last 4 meetings.
- →Salzburg's home attack (2.2 goals/game) vs Hartberg's away defense (1.3 conceded/game).
- →Hartberg have 4 clean sheets in last 5, but have faced weaker attacks recently.
- →Both teams average over 1.5 goals scored in last 5, but BTTS only in 3/10 H2H.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession), reducing model precision.
- ⚠️Hartberg's recent defensive improvement may be inflated by weaker opponents.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets (corners, cards) not provided, so value assessment limited.
- ⚠️Lineups not released; late changes could impact predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.