Ried vs Austria Vienna Prediction
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
Austria Vienna
📍 Innviertel Arena, Ried
🗓️ Sunday, 8 Mar 2026 at 16:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 48.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — Austria Vienna@ 2.1
EV: 0.0%
Austria Vienna has stronger recent form (DLWWW), a better away record, higher average goals scored, and a dominant H2H record against Ried. The odds are in line with model probability, but the away win is the most likely outcome.
ou_2_5 — Over 2.5@ 2.15
EV: -9.0%
Both teams have a high season over 2.5 goals percentage (Ried 47.6%, Austria Vienna 66.7%), and H2H trends support goals. However, value is marginal at current odds.
btts — No@ 1.18
EV: -29.0%
Model leans slightly to 'no' but odds are too short for value. Only consider if price improves.
Match Analysis
Austria Vienna travel to Ried in a matchup where the visitors hold the edge in form, attacking output, and historical head-to-head dominance. Ried have struggled for consistent results, especially against top-half sides, and their recent form is patchy. Austria Vienna are unbeaten in their last three away league games and have shown an ability to score on the road. Expect Austria Vienna to control more of the game, with Ried likely to play reactively and hope for chances on the break or set pieces.
Key Factors
- →Austria Vienna have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
- →Austria Vienna's away record (5W 1D 4L, 18 GF) is stronger than Ried's home record (4W 3D 3L, 12 GF).
- →Ried's recent form is poor (LDDLW), with only 1 win in their last 5.
- →Austria Vienna are on a 3-match unbeaten run in the league (DLWWW).
- →Ried average just 1.2 goals scored in their last 5; Austria Vienna average 1.8.
- →Both teams have a low clean sheet percentage (23.8%), but Austria Vienna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5.
- →Austria Vienna missing two players to long-term injury, but neither are recent regular starters.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited recent lineup and shot data restricts deeper xG/statistical analysis.
- ⚠️Austria Vienna's away defense can concede (15 goals in 10 away), so Ried could capitalize if clinical.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are efficient; no clear value edges at current prices.
- ⚠️Cup and friendly results may not fully reflect league form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.