SC Paderborn 07 vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
📍 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 12:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 54.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 18.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.55
EV: 102.0%
Both teams have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates (Paderborn 61%, Dresden 77% over 2.5; 4/5 and 3/5 BTTS last 5). Dresden score and concede regularly, Paderborn's defense is not impenetrable. Odds offer substantial value versus model probability.
1x2 — draw@ 4.2
EV: 17.0%
Paderborn have drawn 3 of last 5, Dresden have drawn 2 of last 5 and 8 this season. Bookmaker odds slightly undervalue the draw probability.
Match Analysis
SC Paderborn 07 host Dynamo Dresden in a clash between a promotion contender and a mid-table side. Paderborn are strong at home and in solid form, but have drawn their last two. Dresden are unpredictable but have found goals recently, including a 6-0 win last time out. Both teams' recent games have seen goals, and neither defense is particularly watertight. Expect a competitive match with Paderborn's attacking edge likely to make the difference, but Dresden are capable of scoring and making it close.
Key Factors
- →Paderborn are 4th with strong home form (8W, 2D, 3L, 25:18 GF:GA).
- →Dresden are 12th, poor away (3W, 5D, 5L, 19:24 GF:GA) but high-scoring overall.
- →Both teams average over 1.6 goals scored per game; Dresden concede 1.69 per game.
- →Recent form: Paderborn DDWWD, Dresden WDWDL.
- →Last H2H: Paderborn won 2-1 away in October.
- →No significant injuries reported.
- →Both teams' matches frequently go over 2.5 goals (Paderborn 62%, Dresden 77%).
- →Paderborn average 4.4 corners, Dresden only 2.0 in last 5.
- →Discipline: Paderborn 1.8 yellows/game, Dresden very low (0.2).
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some away team match stats missing for last 5 games, slightly reducing confidence in defensive/attacking averages.
- ⚠️Dresden's recent 6-0 win may overstate current attacking strength due to weak opposition.
- ⚠️Lineups unavailable at time of prediction; late injuries or rotations could impact outcome.
- ⚠️Model probabilities are estimates; actual outcomes may vary due to football's inherent randomness.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.