Southampton vs QPR Prediction
Championship · England
Southampton
QPR
📍 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
🗓️ Tuesday, 24 Feb 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 67.0%
Draw: 23.0%
Away: 10.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
72.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.28
EV: 6.0%
Southampton are in strong form (WWWDW), have a solid home record, and have dominated QPR in head-to-heads. QPR's away form is weak and their recent results are poor.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.45
EV: 18.0%
Both teams have high over 2.5% rates this season (Southampton 59%, QPR 62%), and Southampton's attack is in good recent form.
btts — no@ 1.22
EV: -3.0%
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and QPR have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. However, the odds are a bit short for the model probability.
Match Analysis
Southampton enter this fixture in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five and with three straight wins, including a high-scoring away victory at Leicester. Their home record is strong and they have a history of dominating QPR, especially at St. Mary's. QPR, by contrast, are struggling for consistency, with only one win in their last five and a poor away record. Southampton's defense has tightened recently, while QPR's attack has been inconsistent. Expect Southampton to control possession, create more chances, and likely keep a clean sheet.
Key Factors
- →Southampton's form: WWWDW, unbeaten in 5, 3 straight wins
- →QPR's form: LDWLD, only 1 win in last 5
- →Southampton home record: 7W 5D 3L, only 13 conceded in 15
- →QPR away record: 4W 6D 6L, only 14 scored in 16
- →Head-to-head: Southampton have won 6 of last 7 vs QPR
- →Clean sheets: Southampton 3 in last 5, QPR failed to score in 2 of last 5
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession, corners) are missing for both teams, increasing uncertainty in attack/defense estimates.
- ⚠️QPR have a tendency to draw away (6 in 16), so a late equalizer risk exists.
- ⚠️Southampton's home attack is not always high-scoring (20 in 15 at home).
- ⚠️Model confidence is reduced slightly due to incomplete recent match data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.