Sporting CPvsBenfica

Sporting CP vs Benfica Predictions

All AI-powered predictions and betting tips for Sporting CP vs Benfica fixtures. 1 prediction available.

Latest Prediction

Upcoming
Sporting CP vs Benfica
Sunday, 19 Apr 2026Primeira Liga

Predicted Score

1 - 1

Match Odds (1X2)

Home: 37.0%

Draw: 36.0%

Away: 27.0%

Both Teams to Score

No

57.0% confidence

๐Ÿ’ฐ Recommended Bets(3)

1x2 โ€” draw@ 3.65

EV: 33.0%

6
/ 10
Stake
2u

Both teams are in strong form, unbeaten at home (Sporting) and away (Benfica) in the league. H2H meetings are often tight (4 draws in last 10). A draw has the highest model value edge and fits the statistical and historical profile.

btts โ€” yes@ 3.7

EV: 69.0%

4
/ 10
Stake
1u

Model probability (0.43) is higher than the implied odds (0.27), giving a positive edge. Both teams have strong attacks and recent H2H matches have seen both teams scoring in 7 of last 10.

corners โ€” over 8.5

7
/ 10
Stake
2u

Both teams average high corners (Sporting 13, Benfica 15 in recent matches), and model estimate is 10.1. If odds above 1.50, this is a value play.

Match Analysis

This is a high-stakes Lisbon derby with Sporting CP and Benfica both in excellent form, chasing the title and unbeaten at home/away respectively. Sporting have a slightly stronger attack but Benfica are extremely tough to beat. Recent H2H meetings have been cagey, with draws common and both teams often on the scoresheet. Expect a tactical, intense match with high discipline and set piece activity, likely decided by fine margins.

Key Factors

  • โ†’Sporting CP: 11W-1D-1L at home, 2.61 goals scored/game, 0.61 conceded/game
  • โ†’Benfica: 10W-4D-0L away, 2.1 goals scored/game, 0.62 conceded/game
  • โ†’Both teams in strong form (Sporting: WWWDW, Benfica: WDWWD)
  • โ†’4 draws in last 10 H2H; last meeting finished 1-1