SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Elversberg Prediction
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Elversberg
📍 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
🗓️ Friday, 13 Mar 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 13.0%
Draw: 23.0%
Away: 64.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
btts — no@ 2.4
EV: 10.0%
Fürth have failed to score in 1 of their last 5 and Elversberg have a strong defensive record (season clean sheet 32%). H2H shows two recent clean sheets for Elversberg, including a 6-0. Model probability for BTTS 'no' is 52% vs implied 42%.
Match Analysis
SV Elversberg come into this fixture as clear favorites, sitting third in the table and boasting a strong away record. Fürth, bottom of the league, have struggled defensively all season and have the worst defensive record in the division. While Fürth have improved slightly in recent weeks, their home form remains poor, and their attack is inconsistent. Elversberg's defense is among the best in the league and their H2H dominance (including a 6-0 earlier this season) suggests they should control the match. Expect Elversberg to manage the tempo and edge a low-scoring contest, with Fürth struggling to break through.
Key Factors
- →Elversberg are 3rd, Fürth are 18th (last) in the table.
- →Elversberg have won 7 of 13 away games (54%), Fürth just 3 of 12 at home.
- →Fürth concede 2.29 goals/game (season), worst in the league.
- →Elversberg have the 2nd best away defense (16 conceded in 13).
- →H2H: Elversberg unbeaten in last 5 vs Fürth (3W, 2D), including 6-0 and 4-1 wins.
- →Fürth have only 8% clean sheets this season.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Fürth's attack has shown some recent improvement (1.8 goals/game last 5).
- ⚠️Elversberg's last 5 away games include just 1 clean sheet.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, corners, etc) for recent Elversberg matches.
- ⚠️Market odds heavily favor Elversberg, so value is limited outside of BTTS markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.