SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse Prediction

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Havelse
📍 Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 13:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 58.0%
Draw: 27.0%
Away: 15.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.35
EV: 58.0%
Both teams have seen BTTS in all of their last 5 matches. Havelse have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 and have scored in all of them, while Regensburg have only failed to score once in their last 5. The odds on BTTS are much higher than the model probability, offering strong value.
1x2 — draw@ 4.2
EV: 9.0%
Regensburg have drawn 2 of their last 5 and Havelse have drawn 8 this season. The model gives a slightly higher probability to the draw than the odds imply, offering a small value edge.
Match Analysis
SSV Jahn Regensburg host Havelse in a clash between two teams with leaky defenses but some attacking spark. Regensburg are mid-table and have a solid home record, while Havelse are in the relegation zone with the league's worst defense, but have shown goal threat in recent matches. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring and BTTS games lately. Expect Regensburg to control more of the play, but Havelse's ability to find the net keeps them in the contest.
Key Factors
- →Regensburg have scored and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average over the last 5 matches.
- →Havelse have conceded 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 and have not kept a clean sheet.
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in all of their last 5 matches.
- →Regensburg's home record (6W, 3D, 5L) is much stronger than Havelse's away record (1W, 4D, 9L).
- →Havelse have the league's worst defense (64 conceded in 29).
- →Motivation: Regensburg are mid-table, Havelse are fighting relegation.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) missing for several recent games, increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Only one recent head-to-head, so limited H2H data.
- ⚠️Model confidence is lower on exact scorelines due to volatile defenses.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.