Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
League One · England
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
📍 Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 51.0%
Draw: 29.0%
Away: 20.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.36
EV: -12.0%
Stevenage are strong at home (9W-6D-1L), have better recent form (WWLWW), and a positive H2H record. However, odds are short and offer no value edge.
double_chance — 1X
Stevenage have lost just once at home all season, and Wimbledon have a negative away goal difference. 1X is very likely but odds are not provided.
ou_2_5 — under@ 1.57
EV: -4.0%
Both teams have moderate over 2.5 rates (Stevenage 41%, Wimbledon 50%), but Stevenage's home games are generally low-scoring. Odds are tight to model probability.
Match Analysis
Stevenage host AFC Wimbledon at Lamex Stadium in a clash between two sides with contrasting home and away fortunes. Stevenage are formidable at home, losing just once all season and coming in with strong recent form. Wimbledon have been inconsistent on the road, conceding nearly two goals per away game. H2H history also favours Stevenage, especially at home. Expect a competitive match, with Stevenage's defensive solidity at home likely to be the difference. Goals may be limited, but both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches.
Key Factors
- →Stevenage's home record: 9W-6D-1L, only 9 goals conceded in 16 home matches.
- →AFC Wimbledon's away record: 6W-4D-8L, 35 goals conceded in 18 away games.
- →Stevenage's last 5 form: 4 wins, 1 loss, no failed to score.
- →Wimbledon have scored in all of their last 5, but only 1 clean sheet.
- →H2H: Stevenage unbeaten at home in last 5 vs Wimbledon.
- →No injuries reported for either side.
- →Stevenage have higher clean sheet % and lower goals conceded per game.
- →Both teams have moderate over 2.5 rates, but Stevenage home matches tend to be lower scoring.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or detailed attacking data for Stevenage's last 5 matches.
- ⚠️Some recent Wimbledon lineups are missing, so squad rotation risk is unknown.
- ⚠️Odds for some markets (e.g. double chance) not provided.
- ⚠️Moderate uncertainty in goal markets due to variance in Wimbledon away scoring.
- ⚠️No injuries reported, but late team news could affect probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.