Stevenage vs Blackpool Prediction
League One · England
Stevenage
Blackpool
📍 Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
🗓️ Monday, 6 Apr 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 45.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 23.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
66.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — under@ 2.85
EV: 80.0%
Stevenage home matches are low-scoring (39% over 2.5 goals season, 0.8 goals scored/0.6 conceded last 5), Blackpool away are poor in attack (0.85 goals/game away), and both teams show strong recent under 2.5 trends. Odds on under 2.5 are generous compared to model probability.
1x2 — draw@ 3.35
EV: 13.0%
Both teams have a high draw rate (Stevenage 9/38, Blackpool 9/40), Stevenage are strong at home but not prolific, and Blackpool may play for a point given relegation pressure. Model probability slightly exceeds market implied.
Match Analysis
Stevenage, pushing for the playoffs, welcome a struggling Blackpool side with one of the league's worst away records. Stevenage's defensive solidity at home (11 goals conceded in 19) contrasts with Blackpool's poor away attack (17 in 20). Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring matches, especially Stevenage, who have seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of their games. Blackpool's recent form is mixed, but their away performances remain a concern. Expect a tight, cagey contest with Stevenage controlling much of the play, but goals likely at a premium.
Key Factors
- →Stevenage's strong home record (11W, 6D, 2L, 22:11 GF:GA)
- →Blackpool's poor away record (3W, 4D, 13L, 17:35 GF:GA)
- →Stevenage's last 5: 3 clean sheets, only 1.4 yellow cards/game
- →Both teams average under 1.2 goals scored per game in last 5
- →Head-to-head slightly favors Blackpool, but Stevenage won reverse fixture 3-2
- →Stevenage's playoff motivation vs. Blackpool's relegation battle
- →No notable injuries for either side
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Blackpool's attack is inconsistent; some recent away games have been higher scoring
- ⚠️Data for Blackpool's last 5 shots/corners/cards is missing, increasing uncertainty
- ⚠️H2H history is mixed, with some higher-scoring games
- ⚠️Late-season motivation can cause unpredictable performances
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.