Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
League One · England
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
📍 Edgeley Park, Stockport
🗓️ Saturday, 28 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 56.0%
Draw: 26.0%
Away: 18.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
52.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 108.0%
Model probability (48%) is significantly higher than the implied probability (23%) at odds 4.33; both teams have a high rate of BTTS in recent matches and both defences are conceding regularly.
1x2 — home@ 1.22
EV: 7.0%
Stockport are strong at home (10W/4D/4L), higher league position, and have dominated H2H, but odds are short and edge is marginal.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 1.83
EV: -1.0%
Both teams average over 2.5 goals in more than 50% of games this season, and recent form supports goals, but odds are efficient.
Match Analysis
Stockport County enter this fixture as home favourites, sitting 5th in the table and boasting a strong home record. Their recent form is mixed but they rarely fail to score and have shown attacking intent, especially at Edgeley Park. AFC Wimbledon, 14th in the league, are inconsistent away and have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 36 goals in 19 away games. However, they have found the net in most recent matches and can threaten on the break. Head-to-head history favours Stockport, but Wimbledon have enough attacking threat to make this competitive. Expect Stockport to control possession and chances, with both teams likely to contribute to the scoreline.
Key Factors
- →Stockport's strong home record (10W/4D/4L, 28:22 GF:GA).
- →AFC Wimbledon concede 1.89 goals per away game.
- →Both teams average over 1.2 goals per game in recent form.
- →Recent H2H: Stockport have won 3 of last 4, all low scoring.
- →Stockport have failed to score in 0 of last 5; Wimbledon in 1 of last 5.
- →No significant injuries reported.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some away team recent match stats missing (shots, possession, etc).
- ⚠️Low sample size for H2H at this level.
- ⚠️Stockport's recent form is inconsistent (DWLWL).
- ⚠️Market odds for home win are very short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.