Stoke City
Fulham
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent
Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 14:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 13.0%
Draw: 22.0%
Away: 65.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
76.0% confidence
💰Recommended Bets
1x2 — away@ 1.3
Expected Value: 4.0%
Fulham have a much stronger squad, superior attacking metrics, and have dominated recent H2H. Stoke are struggling badly in attack, with just 0.4 goals per game across their last 5. The odds are short but reflect the gulf in class.
btts — no@ 1.18
Expected Value: -2.0%
Stoke have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and average just 0.4 goals per game recently. Fulham's defence has struggled, but Stoke's attack is very blunt. Value is limited at current odds.
under 2.5 — under@ 1.2
Expected Value: -8.0%
Stoke's games are consistently low scoring; Fulham may control the match but Stoke's lack of threat limits the total. Odds are short and margin is slim.
Match Analysis
Fulham travel to Stoke as strong favourites in this FA Cup clash. Stoke are in poor form, winless in five and struggling badly for goals, averaging just 0.4 per game in that stretch. Fulham have lost three straight but all against Premier League opposition, and their underlying attacking stats remain far superior. Historically, Fulham have had the edge in this fixture and should have too much quality for a Stoke side lacking confidence and cutting edge. Expect Fulham to control possession and territory, with Stoke likely to sit deep and struggle to create chances.
Key Factors
- ▪Stoke have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 3 of them.
- ▪Fulham average 1 goal per game in their last 5, but have faced much stronger opposition.
- ▪Fulham have won 6 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including the last two.
- ▪Stoke's home defensive record is strong in the cup but their attack is blunt.
- ▪No major injuries reported for either side.
- ▪Bookmaker odds heavily favour Fulham, reflecting the gulf in class.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️ Stoke's defensive setup could frustrate Fulham if they sit deep.
- ⚠️ Cup ties can be unpredictable, especially if Fulham rotate their squad.
- ⚠️ Limited data on Fulham's away cup form this season.
- ⚠️ No current league standings or full season context available.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk. Always gamble responsibly.