Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
Stuttgart II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
📍 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
🗓️ Saturday, 4 Apr 2026 at 14:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 29.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 39.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3
EV: 162.0%
Model probability for BTTS is 54% versus odds-implied 33%. Both teams average over a goal per game, recent matches show BTTS in 3/5 for Stuttgart II and 4/5 for Regensburg, and defensive records are weak. Strong value edge.
1x2 — draw@ 3.65
Both sides are closely matched in standings and recent form, and the model gives a 32% probability for a draw (implied odds 3.13). The draw is reasonably likely in a fixture where both teams have motivation but lack consistency.
Match Analysis
Stuttgart II and SSV Jahn Regensburg meet in a lower mid-table clash with both teams separated by just one point. Recent form slightly favors Regensburg, who have scored more and lost less in their last five, while Stuttgart II have lost four of their last five. Both sides have leaky defenses, and recent matches for each have seen goals at both ends. Historical head-to-head also supports goals, with most recent meetings seeing at least three goals. Expect an open game with Regensburg's slightly better attack and H2H record giving them the edge.
Key Factors
- →Stuttgart II have lost 4 of their last 5, conceding 9 goals in that span.
- →Regensburg have scored 9 in their last 5, including a 5-goal performance last match.
- →Both teams have poor clean sheet rates (Stuttgart II 16.7%, Regensburg 23.3%).
- →H2H: Regensburg have won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
- →Both teams average over 1 goal scored and over 1.5 conceded per game.
- →Stuttgart II's home record is decent (7W, 2D, 5L), but their recent form is poor.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, possession) missing for several recent games.
- ⚠️No confirmed lineups yet, so late squad changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Market odds may shift before kickoff, affecting value calculations.
- ⚠️Model confidence is reduced due to incomplete underlying match data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.