SV Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
Arminia Bielefeld
📍 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Mar 2026 at 12:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 52.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 20.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1X2 — home@ 1.42
EV: 2.0%
SV Elversberg have strong home form (7W/4D/1L), sit 3rd in the table, and face a Bielefeld side with only 2 away wins and poor recent form (DLLLW).
correct_score — 2-1
Most probable scoreline based on both teams' season averages and recent form, with Elversberg scoring at home and Bielefeld capable of a goal.
btts — yes@ 3.55
EV: 67.0%
Model probability (0.47) is higher than market implied (0.28). Both teams have scored in 3 of Elversberg's and 2 of Bielefeld's last 5. Value edge present.
Match Analysis
SV Elversberg host Arminia Bielefeld in a clash between a promotion contender and a relegation battler. Elversberg have been consistent at home, with a strong defensive record and solid attacking output. Bielefeld, struggling for away results, have shown some attacking threat but are vulnerable defensively. Expect Elversberg to control much of the match, but Bielefeld could threaten on the break. A competitive game is likely, with Elversberg favored to edge it.
Key Factors
- →Elversberg's home record: 7W/4D/1L, 20:10 goal difference at home.
- →Bielefeld's away record: 2W/4D/7L, only 14 goals scored in 13 away games.
- →Recent form: Elversberg LWDWW, Bielefeld DLLLW.
- →Both teams average 1+ goals per game, but Elversberg concede less.
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
- →Elversberg have promotion motivation; Bielefeld are fighting relegation.
- →Only one recent H2H, Bielefeld won at home, but Elversberg stronger at home.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited H2H data (only one recent meeting).
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent games (shots, possession).
- ⚠️Bielefeld's attack can be unpredictable; recent high shot count.
- ⚠️Market odds are tight, limiting value in some markets.
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.