SV Wehen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
SV Wehen
Hansa Rostock
📍 BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
🗓️ Friday, 20 Mar 2026 at 18:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 22.0%
Draw: 30.0%
Away: 48.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
63.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4
EV: 48.0%
Model probability for BTTS 'yes' (0.37) is substantially higher than the implied probability from odds (0.25), and both teams have shown goal potential in recent matches and H2H history.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 4
EV: 44.0%
Season over 2.5 goal % is 48% for Wehen and 62% for Rostock; model probability (0.36) is above the implied probability (0.25), suggesting value.
Match Analysis
Hansa Rostock visit SV Wehen in a clash between two teams in the upper half of the 3. Liga. Wehen are strong at home (10W in 14), but Rostock are one of the league's best away sides (6W, 6D, 2L). Recent form slightly favors Rostock, who have scored freely and come off a 5-1 win. Wehen have been solid but less prolific, and their recent matches have trended lower scoring. H2H is balanced but recent meetings have often seen at least two goals. Expect a tight contest with Rostock's attack likely to edge it.
Key Factors
- →Hansa Rostock have scored 2.2 goals per game in their last 5, Wehen just 1.0.
- →Wehen's home record is strong (10W/14), but Rostock's away record is also excellent (only 2 losses).
- →Both teams have a clean sheet rate of 34%, but both have also failed to score in 2 of their last 5.
- →Recent H2H: last meeting was 3-0 Rostock; overall H2H is close (5-4 to Wehen).
- →League standings: Both teams are in the promotion race, with Rostock 5th and Wehen 8th.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →Bookmaker odds heavily favor Rostock, but model sees draw as plausible.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Missing detailed shots/corners/fouls data for recent matches reduces confidence in set piece and discipline markets.
- ⚠️Some averages (shots, corners, cards) are based on incomplete data.
- ⚠️Recent form for both teams includes some low-scoring matches, increasing variance in goal markets.
- ⚠️Predicted probabilities are model-based and not guarantees; always consider market movement and late team news.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.