Tondela vs GIL Vicente Prediction
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
GIL Vicente
📍 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
🗓️ Monday, 13 Apr 2026 at 19:15
Original Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 12.0%
Draw: 26.0%
Away: 62.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
79.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.4
EV: -4.0%
GIL Vicente are 6th, have a much stronger season record, and Tondela have only 1 home win all season. GIL Vicente's away form is solid and they have a clear attacking edge. However, the odds are quite short, so value is limited.
btts — no@ 1.17
EV: -2.0%
Tondela have failed to score in 3 of last 5, average just 0.7 goals/game, and GIL Vicente's defence is above average. Model probability is high, but odds are short.
correct_score — 0-2
Most likely correct score by model. Tondela rarely score, GIL Vicente often keep it tight away. Use only if odds are attractive.
Match Analysis
GIL Vicente travel to relegation-threatened Tondela as strong favourites. Tondela have struggled all season, especially at home, with just one win and a very low scoring rate. GIL Vicente are solidly mid-table, with a balanced away record and a much more productive attack. Recent form favours the visitors, and Tondela's inability to score or create chances consistently makes an away win and a clean sheet for GIL Vicente likely. Expect a controlled performance from the visitors, with Tondela struggling to break them down.
Key Factors
- →Tondela: only 1 home win in 14, scoring just 9 goals at home all season.
- →GIL Vicente: 6th in the table, positive goal difference, 4 away wins and 6 draws from 14 away games.
- →Tondela failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches; average just 0.7 goals/game.
- →GIL Vicente average 1.5 goals/game and have a 39% clean sheet rate.
- →H2H: GIL Vicente have won 4 of last 9 meetings, including 3-0 and 1-0 away wins.
- →Tondela's recent form: LDLDW, heavy 0-5 loss last time out.
- →No notable injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Tondela are fighting relegation and may show extra motivation.
- ⚠️Some missing data for corners and set pieces in recent matches.
- ⚠️GIL Vicente's away attack is not elite, so a low-scoring away win is possible.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are very short on away win and unders, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.