Torino vs Parma Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Torino
Parma
📍 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
🗓️ Friday, 13 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 36.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 28.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
56.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.15
EV: 13.0%
Both teams have similar recent form and defensive profiles. H2H history shows a high frequency of draws (4 of last 10). Both teams struggle to score consistently, and the model probability for a draw (0.36) slightly exceeds the implied probability from odds, offering a small value edge.
Match Analysis
This is a clash between two mid-table sides with similar points tallies and defensive weaknesses. Torino have the home advantage but have struggled for consistency, while Parma are slightly better away from home and come in with a stronger recent form string. Both teams average just over 1 goal per game recently, and the historical head-to-heads are tight, with draws and low-scoring games common. Expect a cautious affair with limited clear chances, and a draw is a likely outcome.
Key Factors
- →Torino home form: 5W-2D-7L, 1.07 GF/game, 1.57 GA/game.
- →Parma away form: 5W-4D-4L, 0.69 GF/game, 1.00 GA/game.
- →Both teams average 1.2 goals scored in last 5 matches.
- →Torino have conceded 1.8 goals/game in last 5, Parma 1.2.
- →H2H: 4 draws in last 10, most matches low scoring.
- →Torino's season over 2.5 goals: 60.7%, Parma: 33.3%.
- →Neither side has a strong clean sheet record recently.
- →Only minor injury news: Torino missing Zannetos Savva.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Parma's last 5 match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing, reducing confidence in attacking/defensive estimates.
- ⚠️Recent lineups for both sides are incomplete; possible rotation risk.
- ⚠️Market odds are tight and value edges are small.
- ⚠️Low confidence in set piece and discipline markets due to missing away team stats.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.