Torquay vs Chesham United Prediction
National League - South · England
Torquay
Chesham United
📍 Plainmoor, Torquay
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 15:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 26.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 40.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
Double Chance — X2
Chesham United are in better recent form (WLDLW), Torquay are on a poor run (LDLLL), and Chesham have a solid away record. Model probability (0.74) for X2 is high, matching API advice and recent trends.
1X2 — Away
Chesham United have the momentum, a better defensive record, and recent H2H success away at Torquay. Torquay's defensive frailty (3.4 goals conceded avg last 5) increases away win probability.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over
Torquay's matches are high scoring (69% over 2.5 this season, 3.4 conceded avg last 5), while Chesham have shown attacking threat recently. H2H history also supports goals.
Match Analysis
Torquay enter this fixture in a worrying slump, winless in five and leaking goals at an alarming rate. Their home form has generally been strong, but recent heavy defeats and a lack of clean sheets undermine their confidence. Chesham United, meanwhile, are in better shape, with two wins in their last three and a solid away record. The visitors' defense is notably tighter, and their attack has found form, as shown in their recent 4-0 win. With both sides fighting for playoff positions, expect a competitive game, but Chesham's momentum and Torquay's defensive woes tip the balance toward the visitors.
Key Factors
- →Torquay have lost 4 of their last 5, conceding 17 goals in that span.
- →Chesham United have won 2 of their last 3, including a 4-0 victory last time out.
- →Torquay's season home record is strong, but recent home results are poor (0-5, 2-2, 3-2).
- →Chesham United have a positive away record (7W, 5D, 6L) and a better defensive record overall.
- →H2H: Chesham won the last meeting at Torquay (2-1) and have a decent record at Plainmoor.
- →Both teams are in the playoff hunt and motivation is high.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value/edge cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches; set piece threat is estimated.
- ⚠️Lineups unknown; late injuries or rotations could affect projections.
- ⚠️Torquay's home form is historically strong, increasing draw risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.