Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
Lille
📍 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
🗓️ Sunday, 12 Apr 2026 at 15:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 19.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 53.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
68.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — away@ 1.65
Lille have superior league position, better form, and a strong away record. Toulouse struggle to score and have lost 3 of their last 5. Lille have won 6 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
double_chance — X2
Lille are in the top 3, Toulouse are mid-table, and Lille have only lost 5 of 14 away games. Lille are also unbeaten in their last 2 away Ligue 1 matches.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.13
EV: -17.5%
Both teams have under 50% over 2.5 goal rates this season (Toulouse 46%, Lille 43%). Recent matches have also trended low-scoring.
Match Analysis
Lille travel to Toulouse as favorites, carrying strong form and a clear advantage in both league position and recent results. Toulouse have struggled for consistency, especially at home, and have difficulty scoring against top-half teams. Lille's defense has tightened up, and they have a history of success in this fixture. Expect a cautious opening, with Lille likely to control possession and edge the match, possibly by a single goal.
Key Factors
- →Lille are 3rd in Ligue 1, Toulouse are 10th.
- →Lille have won 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
- →Toulouse have lost 3 of their last 5 and failed to score in 2.
- →Lille have won 6 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
- →Both teams have under 50% over 2.5 goal rate this season.
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some away stats for Lille's recent games are missing detailed shot/possession data.
- ⚠️Market odds for some selections are not available, so expected value cannot be fully calculated.
- ⚠️Toulouse are capable of occasional upsets, especially at home.
- ⚠️Lille's Europa League schedule could cause rotation or fatigue, but no injuries are reported.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.