TSV 1860 München vs SV Wehen Prediction
3. Liga · Germany
TSV 1860 München
SV Wehen
📍 Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, Munich
🗓️ Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 at 15:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 46.0%
Draw: 32.0%
Away: 22.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.75
EV: 102.5%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 54%, while odds imply only 27%. Both teams average over 2 goals scored in their last 5, and BTTS has landed in 4 of Wehen's last 5 and 2 of 1860's last 5. Both attacks are in good form, and the price offers clear value.
1x2 — home@ 1.48
EV: 4.8%
TSV 1860 München are on a 5-game win streak, strong at home (8W, 4D, 2L), and have better recent defensive stats. However, the odds are short and value is marginal.
Match Analysis
TSV 1860 München host SV Wehen in a clash between two promotion hopefuls separated by just one point. 1860 are in red-hot form with five straight wins, conceding only twice in their last five and averaging 2.2 goals per game. Wehen are inconsistent but dangerous, scoring 2.2 per game in their last five, but with no clean sheets and 4/5 BTTS. 1860's home advantage and defensive edge make them slight favourites, but Wehen's attack means both teams are likely to score. Expect a competitive, open match with goals at both ends.
Key Factors
- →TSV 1860 München are on a 5-game winning streak, conceding just 0.4 goals per game in that span.
- →Wehen have scored 2+ in 4 of their last 5 but have not kept a clean sheet in that time.
- →1860 are strong at home (8W, 4D, 2L), while Wehen struggle away (4W, 4D, 6L, just 11 scored in 14).
- →BTTS has landed in 4 of Wehen's last 5 and 2 of 1860's last 5.
- →Head-to-head is balanced (3W each, 4D in last 10), with several high-scoring draws.
- →Both teams are in the top 8 and remain in the promotion chase, so motivation is high.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Limited shots and corners data for both teams in recent matches.
- ⚠️Some lineup data missing for last 5 matches; potential for rotation or surprise selections.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but last-minute changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Market odds for BTTS (yes) seem out of line with recent attacking trends—model could be overestimating probability if defensive setups change.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.