TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna Prediction
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
📍 Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Mar 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 38.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
53.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 4.33
EV: 103.0%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 47%, while odds imply just 23%. Both teams have attacking potential, Austria Vienna have failed to score in 0 of last 5, and Hartberg's home defence is decent but not impenetrable. Value is strong.
1x2 — draw@ 3.3
EV: 12.0%
Both teams have drawn multiple games recently (Hartberg 3/5, Austria Vienna 1/5), and Hartberg are hard to beat at home. Odds offer a small value edge.
Match Analysis
This is a tight mid-table Bundesliga clash between two sides with contrasting recent form: Hartberg are on a run of draws and clean sheets, while Austria Vienna have been involved in higher-scoring, more volatile games. Hartberg's home matches tend to be low-scoring and cagey, but Austria Vienna's away record shows they can score and concede. Expect a cautious first half, with more action after the break. Both teams are still in the hunt for European spots, so motivation will be high.
Key Factors
- →Hartberg have drawn 4 of their last 5, with 4 clean sheets but only 2 goals scored.
- →Austria Vienna have scored in all of their last 5 games, averaging 1.8 goals per match.
- →Hartberg's home record is solid (4W 4D 3L), while Austria Vienna's away record is strong (6W 1D 4L).
- →Head-to-head is very balanced, but recent meetings have seen both teams score.
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
- →Bookmaker odds overestimate Austria Vienna's win chance relative to model.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) are missing for Austria Vienna.
- ⚠️Hartberg's attack has been weak recently, increasing risk for BTTS and over bets.
- ⚠️Austria Vienna's defensive volatility (conceded 5 last match) adds unpredictability.
- ⚠️No lineups available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.