TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
📍 Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
🗓️ Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 at 12:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 14.0%
Draw: 28.0%
Away: 58.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
77.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.75
EV: 1.0%
Recent H2H includes multiple draws, both teams have struggled to score in recent matches, and Salzburg's attack is out of form. The draw has a slight value edge at current odds.
under/over 2.5 goals — under@ 2.1
Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game in their last 5, with only 1/5 BTTS for each. Recent H2H also low scoring. Under 2.5 is favored by model and recent data.
Match Analysis
TSV Hartberg and Red Bull Salzburg meet with both sides in poor attacking form. Hartberg have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, Salzburg in 4 of 5, and both have seen a string of low-scoring games. H2H history is dominated by Salzburg, but the most recent meeting ended 0-0 and Hartberg have tightened up defensively. Expect a cautious match with few clear chances, Salzburg having more of the ball but struggling to break down a compact Hartberg side.
Key Factors
- →Both teams have scored just 0.4 (Hartberg) and 0.2 (Salzburg) goals per game in their last 5 matches.
- →Salzburg have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, Hartberg in 3 of 5.
- →Hartberg have kept 3 clean sheets in last 5; Salzburg only 1.
- →Recent H2H: last meeting 0-0, 3 of last 5 under 2.5 goals.
- →Salzburg have a much stronger season attack (1.79 goals/game), but current form is poor.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
- →Salzburg are 2nd in the league, Hartberg 6th, but both are in a dry patch.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Salzburg's season-long attack is much stronger than recent form suggests; if they revert to mean, they could score more.
- ⚠️Hartberg's defensive solidity is recent and may not hold against Salzburg's quality.
- ⚠️Low confidence in BTTS and total goals due to both teams' recent attacking struggles.
- ⚠️Some missing stats for recent Salzburg matches (shots, possession) slightly reduce model confidence.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.