Twente vs Groningen Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
Groningen
📍 De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 11:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 69.0%
Draw: 22.0%
Away: 9.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
75.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — Twente@ 1.18
EV: 1.4%
Twente are strong at home (5W/4D/2L), in better form (DWDDW), and have a dominant H2H record vs Groningen, who are on a 4-game losing streak. Model probability (0.69) is close to the implied odds, so only moderate value.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.45
EV: 7.7%
Twente's attack is in good form (2.0 goals avg last 5), and Groningen's defense has been leaky (1.6 conceded last 5). Model probability (0.37) outpaces implied odds, providing a small value edge.
Match Analysis
Twente come into this match in solid form, unbeaten in their last five and with a strong home record. Their attack has been productive, and defensively they've kept three clean sheets in the last five. Groningen, meanwhile, are struggling with four straight losses and have been conceding regularly. Historically, Twente have dominated this fixture at home. Expect Twente to control the match, likely win to nil, and limit Groningen's attacking chances.
Key Factors
- →Twente unbeaten in last five (DWDDW), Groningen lost four straight (LLLLW)
- →Twente home record: 5W/4D/2L; Groningen away: 5W/1D/5L but current form poor
- →Twente avg 2.0 goals scored, 0.6 conceded in last 5; Groningen 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded
- →H2H: Twente unbeaten in last 10 vs Groningen, winning 4 of last 5 at home
- →Twente have 3 clean sheets in last 5, Groningen failed to score in 1 of last 5
- →Twente missing S. Lammers (shoulder), but squad depth looks sufficient
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Groningen's away record is not poor overall, but recent form is weak
- ⚠️Some missing data for Groningen's last 5 (shots, cards, etc.) reduces model confidence
- ⚠️Odds for Twente are very short, limiting value
- ⚠️Twente missing S. Lammers (shoulder), may impact attack slightly
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.