Udinese vs Sassuolo Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
Sassuolo
📍 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 11:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 44.0%
Draw: 36.0%
Away: 20.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
78.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
1x2 — home@ 1.67
EV: 7.0%
Udinese have slightly better recent form, home advantage, and Sassuolo are coming off a heavy defeat. Udinese's defense has been more reliable and Sassuolo have failed to score in 3 of their last 5. Odds offer slight value given model probability.
over_under_2_5 — under@ 1.13
EV: -2.0%
Both teams have low scoring averages and 50% or less over 2.5 goal rate this season. Recent H2H and form suggest a low-scoring match, with both sides struggling to create many chances.
btts — no@ 1.17
EV: -3.0%
Sassuolo have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and Udinese have only conceded 1.2 goals/game in their last 5. H2H also shows several matches where one side failed to score.
Match Analysis
This is a mid-table clash between Udinese and Sassuolo, with both teams looking to consolidate their positions. Udinese come into the match with slightly better form and a more solid defensive record, while Sassuolo are reeling from a heavy defeat and have struggled to score recently. The fixture history suggests a tendency towards draws and low-scoring games, and both sides have a similar season profile. Injuries for both teams are notable but not overwhelmingly decisive. Expect a cautious, tight match with Udinese's home advantage likely to tip the balance.
Key Factors
- →Udinese's home form is steady (4W, 4D, 4L) with a slight edge over Sassuolo's away record (4W, 3D, 5L).
- →Sassuolo have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- →Both teams have a low clean sheet percentage (20.83%) but also a low over 2.5 goal percentage (50%).
- →Recent H2H meetings often finish level or with one side failing to score.
- →Udinese's attack is slightly more productive at home than Sassuolo's away attack.
- →Both teams missing some players, but neither side is missing a critical mass of key starters.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Sassuolo's last 5 match stats are incomplete (missing shots, possession, etc.), increasing model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Both teams have several injuries/questionables; late lineup changes could impact probabilities.
- ⚠️Low expected goals and high draw probability make this a higher variance fixture for 1x2 markets.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on under 2.5 and BTTS: No are very short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.