Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
📍 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
🗓️ Sunday, 22 Feb 2026 at 13:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 52.0%
Draw: 30.0%
Away: 18.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3.7
EV: 70.0%
Model estimates 54% chance for over 2.5 goals, while market odds (3.7) imply only 27%. Both teams have high BTTS and over 2.5 rates, and recent H2H matches often see 3+ goals.
btts — yes@ 3.95
EV: 57.0%
BTTS has landed in 4/5 for Utrecht and 5/5 for PEC Zwolle recently. Both teams' defenses are inconsistent, and H2H history supports this.
Match Analysis
Utrecht come into this fixture in better recent form and with a strong home record, while PEC Zwolle have struggled away, especially defensively (34 conceded in 12 away games). Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, and the H2H record also suggests goals are likely. Utrecht's attack should find success against Zwolle's leaky defense, but Zwolle's recent goal output means they can contribute to the scoreline.
Key Factors
- →Utrecht's home record: 5W, 2D, 4L, 18:11 GF:GA
- →PEC Zwolle's away record: 1W, 4D, 7L, 18:34 GF:GA
- →Utrecht form: WWLDL; Zwolle form: LLWLW
- →Last 5 for both: 0 clean sheets, 4/5 and 5/5 BTTS respectively
- →H2H: Utrecht unbeaten in last 4 at home vs Zwolle, high-scoring games
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats incomplete for recent games (shots, possession, etc.)
- ⚠️Utrecht's season averages and home/away splits are missing in derived_stats but present in standings
- ⚠️Lineups not available at time of analysis; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions
- ⚠️Market odds suggest low goal expectation, but model and data point higher
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.