Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
Osasuna
📍 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
🗓️ Sunday, 1 Mar 2026 at 15:15
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 28.0%
Draw: 39.0%
Away: 33.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
59.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
1x2 — draw@ 3.15
EV: 7.3%
Both teams are among the lowest scorers, with underwhelming home/away records (Valencia: 4W/5D/3L at home, Osasuna: 2W/3D/8L away). Recent form is mixed, and H2H shows a high draw rate. The model's draw probability exceeds the implied odds, offering small value.
first_half_goals_ou_0_5 — under
Both teams average low first-half goals in recent matches. Valencia have 0 first-half goals in last 5, Osasuna only 3. Tight, cagey first half likely.
Match Analysis
This fixture sees two teams with contrasting recent form but similar season-long struggles in attack. Valencia have lost 4 of their last 5 and are only marginally better at home, while Osasuna are unbeaten in 5 but have a poor away record (2 wins in 13). Both sides average just over 1 goal per game and have similar clean sheet rates. Head-to-head has been balanced, with several low-scoring draws. Expect a tactical, low-scoring contest with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw.
Key Factors
- →Valencia have scored only 1 goal per game in their last 5 matches.
- →Osasuna are unbeaten in 5 but have only 2 away wins all season.
- →Both teams have a 24% season clean sheet rate and 44% over 2.5 goal rate.
- →Recent H2H meetings include multiple draws and low scores.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Valencia's underlying attacking stats are weak, but home advantage could matter.
- ⚠️Osasuna's recent form is strong, but away record is poor.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for Valencia's recent games may reduce confidence in shot/corner projections.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are heavily skewed towards under 2.5 and BTTS no, leaving little value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.