Worthing vs Chesham United Prediction
National League - South · England
Worthing
Chesham United
📍 Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
🗓️ Tuesday, 3 Mar 2026 at 19:45
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 60.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 15.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.65
EV: 97.0%
Model probability for BTTS (yes) is 54%, much higher than the implied probability from odds (27%). Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent games and Worthing's defense is not airtight.
1x2 — home@ 1.18
EV: -11.0%
Worthing are strong at home (10W/17), high scoring, and have a good H2H record. However, odds are short and value is limited.
Match Analysis
Worthing host Chesham United in a clash between two sides with top-half ambitions. Worthing are formidable at home, boasting only one loss in 17, and are the league's highest scorers. Chesham are solid on the road and arrive in decent form (DLWWW), but have struggled against Worthing in recent H2Hs. Expect Worthing to control possession and create more chances, but Chesham's recent away resilience and goal threat means both teams are likely to score. Worthing's attack should prove decisive, but Chesham can keep it competitive.
Key Factors
- →Worthing's home record: 10W/6D/1L, 44:14 GF:GA
- →Chesham's away record: 7W/5D/5L, 20:19 GF:GA
- →Worthing average 2.18 goals scored per game, Chesham 1.24
- →Recent form: Worthing LWWLD, Chesham DLWWW
- →H2H: Worthing have won 3 of last 4 meetings
- →Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent matches
- →No significant injuries reported
Risk Notes
- ⚠️No shots, corners, or possession data for recent matches—limits set piece and tempo analysis
- ⚠️Some volatility in Worthing's defense (1 clean sheet in last 5)
- ⚠️Chesham's attack can be inconsistent (1 failed to score in last 5)
- ⚠️Odds on Worthing are very short, limiting value
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.