Wrexham vs Swansea Prediction
Championship · England
Wrexham
Swansea
📍 SToK Cae Ras, Wrexham
🗓️ Friday, 13 Mar 2026 at 20:00
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 46.0%
Draw: 33.0%
Away: 21.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
64.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(1)
1x2 — draw@ 3.3
EV: 8.9%
Both teams show relatively close form, with Wrexham strong at home but Swansea capable of keeping games tight. The draw probability is slightly higher than the implied odds suggest, offering a small value edge.
Match Analysis
Wrexham come into this match in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five and on a three-game winning streak, with a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game recently. Swansea, while inconsistent away from home, have shown defensive improvement and are coming off a confidence-boosting win. The data suggests a competitive match, with Wrexham's home advantage and attacking edge likely to be the difference, but Swansea's ability to control possession and limit chances could keep the game close. A narrow home win or a draw are the most likely outcomes, with goals expected to be limited.
Key Factors
- →Wrexham's strong recent form (WWWDW), especially at home.
- →Swansea's poor away record (4W, 2D, 11L) and low away scoring rate (0.82 goals/game).
- →Wrexham averaging 2.2 goals scored in their last 5 matches; Swansea just 0.8.
- →Both teams have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5.
- →Low BTTS and under 2.5 goal rates for both sides.
- →No significant injuries reported for either team.
- →Wrexham have failed to score in 0 of last 5; Swansea in 2 of last 5.
- →Only one recent H2H: Swansea won 2-1 at home in December.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Only one recent H2H, so limited direct matchup data.
- ⚠️Wrexham's last 5 match stats have some missing data (shots/corners for some games).
- ⚠️Corners and cards markets have moderate uncertainty due to incomplete stats.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest a much lower probability for BTTS and over 2.5 than the model, indicating market caution.
- ⚠️Lineups not yet available; late injuries or rotations could impact predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.